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Red157
636982.6
951513.9
271462.7
Blue141
913735.7
965823.5
129656.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18310750150200250157141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+26Teleop
+18Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave6
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points19
44Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +7
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
107Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#10
10L3#7
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points2
157Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.3
84.384.0
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
red by 25.9
1296
#13
56.72.1
53.155.1
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
Second
62.70.3
62.862.5
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
red by 26.9
9137
#31
35.72.1
33.735.7
Auto6.3
Teleop26.3
End3.1
Third
9515
#45
13.90.3
14.213.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 9.6
9658
#41
23.52.1
21.523.5
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned