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Red137
373538.6
543143.9
215825.1
Blue146
808843.9
582930.9
542743.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11213550100150200137146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
20Coral scored#23
73Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
103Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
137Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#26
43.91.5
42.443.9
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
Level
8088
#30
43.90.8
44.645.3
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
Second
3735
#25
38.61.5
37.138.6
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
blue by 4.9
5427
#23
43.50.8
42.543.3
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End4.6
Third
2158
#42
25.11.5
23.625.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
blue by 5.7
5829
#18
30.90.8
30.130.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned