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Red195
874958.8
62461.8
817740.7
Blue102
697433.6
23154.1
731234.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171147100200250195102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+89Teleop
+99Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
36Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +69
26Coral scored#14
93Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
18Processor points12
24Net points4
42Algae points16
135Total teleop66
Reef
14L4#6
9L3#6
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points6
195Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
61.83.3
55.058.3
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
red by 7.7
231
#6
54.11.9
54.452.5
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
58.83.3
53.456.8
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
red by 24.4
7312
#28
34.41.9
36.334.4
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Third
8177
#11
40.73.3
36.940.2
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
red by 7.2
6974
#37
33.61.9
34.232.3
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned