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Red137
258247.3
436419.9
258739.4
Blue179
910567.9
857650.8
541728.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11016550100150200250137179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +44
19Coral scored#31
68Coral points110
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
100Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#12
5L3#9
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points0
137Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#19
47.31.5
45.446.9
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
blue by 20.7
67.92.0
64.666.6
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
Second
2587
#29
39.41.5
37.939.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
blue by 11.4
8576
#20
50.82.0
46.248.2
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
Third
4364
#35
19.91.5
17.819.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 8.5
5417
#44
28.32.0
26.328.3
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned