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Red149
857320.1
667252.0
949257.5
Blue169
384762.4
473444.8
526130.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129134050100150200250300149169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#23
63Coral points83
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
95Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#5
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
149Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
#16
57.52.0
53.555.6
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
blue by 4.8
62.42.9
59.662.5
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
Second
6672
#14
52.02.0
48.750.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
red by 7.2
4734
#24
44.82.9
40.343.2
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
Third
8573
#36
20.12.0
16.518.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 10.0
5261
#39
30.12.9
26.229.0
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned