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Red100
636982.6
510327.8
1051816.6
Blue42
415331.8
951513.9
873217.1
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1596505010020025010042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#5
43Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
53Total teleop29
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
100Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.62.2
86.584.3
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
red by 50.8
4153
#21
31.81.7
32.330.7
Auto4.9
Teleop18.9
End7.9
Second
5103
#34
27.82.2
28.426.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
red by 10.7
8732
#40
17.11.7
18.817.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Third
16.62.2
17.815.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 2.7
9515
#45
13.91.7
15.914.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed