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Red169
808843.9
636982.6
384762.4
Blue174
857650.8
41859.7
874958.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202171100150250300169174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
21Coral scored#24
75Coral points86
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
18Processor points18
16Net points28
34Algae points46
109Total teleop132
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#5
7L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
169Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.5
84.083.5
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
red by 22.9
418
#22
59.70.2
57.657.9
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
Second
62.40.5
63.863.3
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
red by 3.5
58.80.2
56.857.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Third
8088
#30
43.90.5
45.344.8
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
blue by 6.9
8576
#20
50.80.2
48.749.0
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7