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Red188
62461.8
303548.2
288160.7
Blue163
667252.0
542743.5
271462.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167167155160165170175180185188163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points51
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +24
27Coral scored#19
96Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
6Processor points18
16Net points8
22Algae points26
118Total teleop94
Reef
15L4#8
8L3#11
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points2
188Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
61.80.6
58.358.9
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
blue by 0.9
62.70.1
62.562.5
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
Second
60.70.6
57.357.9
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
red by 8.8
6672
#14
52.00.1
51.751.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
Third
3035
#12
48.20.6
44.845.4
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 4.7
5427
#23
43.50.1
43.343.4
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End4.6