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Red187
258247.3
268946.4
464142.6
Blue238
910567.9
949257.5
697433.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167193100150250300187238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+57
Endgame+47
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
28Coral scored#34
102Coral points124
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
130Total teleop176
Reef
9L4#15
10L3#9
8L2#11
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#51
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +51
2Foul points6
187Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#19
47.30.4
46.947.3
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
blue by 20.7
67.91.0
66.367.3
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
Second
2689
#10
46.40.4
46.046.4
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
blue by 11.2
9492
#16
57.51.0
55.956.9
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Third
4641
#27
42.60.4
42.342.6
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
red by 9.1
6974
#37
33.61.0
31.932.9
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0