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Red191
129656.7
541448.7
23154.1
Blue192
636982.6
384762.4
808843.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156200100250191192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+27
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave3
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
19Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +1
27Coral scored#25
96Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
130Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#10
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
191Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
56.70.6
56.156.7
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
blue by 25.9
82.60.0
83.283.2
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
Second
231
#6
54.10.6
53.554.1
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
blue by 8.3
62.40.0
62.963.0
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
Third
5414
#15
48.70.6
48.048.7
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
red by 4.7
8088
#30
43.90.0
44.544.5
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6