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Red207
857650.8
41859.7
874958.8
Blue190
62461.8
303548.2
288160.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175167120140160200220240260207190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points85
5Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
30Processor points24
28Net points20
58Algae points44
120Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#11
5L3#11
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
207Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#22
59.71.0
57.958.8
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
blue by 2.1
624
#17
61.80.6
58.959.6
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
58.81.0
57.058.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
blue by 1.9
60.70.6
57.958.5
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
Third
8576
#20
50.81.0
49.049.9
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
red by 2.6
3035
#12
48.20.6
45.446.0
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0