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Red221
817740.7
118107.9
14869.9
Blue198
129656.7
541448.7
23154.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238149100200250300221198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
29Coral scored#21
104Coral points76
4Processor algae#6
5Net algae#6
24Processor points36
20Net points24
44Algae points60
148Total teleop136
Reef
13L4#9
11L3#9
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
221Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.90.1
107.2107.3
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 51.1
1296
#13
56.71.0
55.256.1
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
Second
148
#2
69.90.1
69.369.4
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 15.8
231
#6
54.11.0
52.553.5
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
8177
#11
40.70.1
40.140.2
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
blue by 7.9
5414
#15
48.71.0
47.148.0
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9