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Qual 12025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division
Red177
951227.7
258352.2
557263.3
Blue198
284852.7
147761.3
1034050.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134144100200250177198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +10
25Coral scored#26
90Coral points94
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
124Total teleop134
Reef
14L4#8
9L3#15
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
177Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#4
63.32.8
60.4→63.2
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
red by 2.0
1477
#12
61.33.3
53.1→56.4
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
Second
2583
#23
52.22.8
41.6→44.4
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
blue by 0.5
2848
#16
52.73.3
42.8→46.2
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
Third
9512
#40
27.72.8
21.6→24.4
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
blue by 22.2
10340
#21
50.03.3
35.1→38.5
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned