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Red148
914060.6
295021.8
637741.6
Blue140
712153.8
837028.7
356131.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11687406080100140160180148140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave0
4Coral scored#6
18Coral points30
18Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
23Coral scored#20
82Coral points72
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
126Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#9
6L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
148Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.8
39.541.2
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
red by 6.8
7121
#13
53.82.6
36.539.2
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
Second
6377
#27
41.61.8
44.045.7
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
red by 9.7
3561
#30
31.92.6
27.029.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
Third
2950
#33
21.81.8
18.019.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
blue by 6.9
8370
#39
28.72.6
17.920.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed