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Red114
887428.5
268743.8
32453.1
Blue40
635748.1
406334.5
1038522.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122985015020011440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+80Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
18Coral scored#1
66Coral points5
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
82Total teleop5
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#1
5L2#0
5L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
6Foul points12
114Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#7
53.10.1
46.346.2
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
red by 5.0
6357
#14
48.14.4
34.830.3
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
Second
2687
#29
43.80.1
35.034.8
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 9.3
4063
#25
34.54.4
38.534.1
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
Third
8874
#37
28.50.1
28.628.5
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
red by 5.9
22.54.4
21.417.0
Auto2.9
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned