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Red78
887428.5
578832.6
284852.7
Blue159
749252.2
541164.4
367935.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011545020078159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+69
Endgame+71
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points35
19Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#22
33Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
55Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#10
3L2#8
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points10
78Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#16
52.71.9
46.244.2
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
blue by 11.6
5411
#10
64.40.1
63.863.8
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
Second
5788
#36
32.61.9
26.925.0
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
blue by 19.6
7492
#15
52.20.1
48.748.7
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
Third
8874
#37
28.51.9
28.526.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
blue by 6.5
3679
#28
35.00.1
29.629.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed