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Red157
32453.1
557263.3
712153.8
Blue120
356131.9
268743.8
147761.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164124100150200250157120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points20
43Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
100Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#8
11L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
157Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.2
63.263.0
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
red by 2.0
1477
#12
61.30.8
56.455.6
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
Second
7121
#13
53.80.2
39.239.0
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
red by 10.0
2687
#29
43.80.8
34.834.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Third
324
#7
53.10.2
46.246.0
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
red by 21.2
3561
#30
31.90.8
29.628.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed