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Red180
912851.1
331062.0
1034050.0
Blue159
406334.5
637741.6
246862.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137137100120160180180159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
16Coral scored#25
56Coral points89
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
36Processor points12
20Net points28
56Algae points40
112Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#11
5L3#5
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
180Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.03.9
42.145.9
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
blue by 0.4
62.41.7
51.152.8
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Second
9128
#18
51.13.9
38.842.6
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
red by 9.5
6377
#27
41.61.7
45.747.4
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
Third
50.03.9
38.542.3
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 15.4
4063
#25
34.51.7
34.135.8
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned