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Red158
463938.2
635748.1
941840.0
Blue150
45747.0
348121.0
258352.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612580100140160158150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
28Coral scored#20
102Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
126Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#9
11L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
158Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#14
48.12.2
30.332.6
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
blue by 4.2
2583
#23
52.21.3
44.445.7
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
Second
9418
#11
40.02.2
33.335.6
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
blue by 7.0
457
#8
47.01.3
43.144.3
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
Third
4639
#22
38.22.2
34.036.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
red by 17.1
3481
#45
21.01.3
14.215.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned