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Red168
1001453.1
928918.2
680089.8
Blue163
947830.8
331062.0
918128.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517750100200168163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+9Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
113Total teleop96
Reef
13L4#7
7L3#8
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points6
168Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.81.9
76.077.9
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 27.8
62.04.8
45.950.7
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
53.11.9
36.538.5
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
red by 22.3
9478
#31
30.84.8
9.214.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Third
9289
#35
18.21.9
13.215.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 10.8
9181
#24
28.94.8
18.823.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned