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Red103
951227.7
648824.8
769123.4
Blue154
246862.4
837028.7
258542.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7414050100200103154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+55
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +54
13Coral scored#26
47Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#8
12Processor points12
24Net points32
36Algae points44
83Total teleop137
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#12
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#38
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
103Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9512
#40
27.70.9
24.425.3
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
blue by 34.7
62.41.2
52.854.0
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Second
6488
#38
24.80.9
21.522.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
blue by 17.8
2585
#20
42.61.2
37.138.4
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
Third
7691
#43
23.40.9
19.520.4
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
blue by 5.3
8370
#39
28.71.2
20.621.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsMissed