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Red61
912113.6
295021.8
354533.0
Blue144
912851.1
471718.8
1038522.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679005015020025061144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+83
Endgame+91
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +66
9Coral scored#22
31Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
41Total teleop107
Reef
3L4#11
2L3#8
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
8Foul points0
61Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3545
#34
33.01.5
32.430.9
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
blue by 18.0
9128
#18
51.13.4
42.646.0
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Second
2950
#33
21.81.5
19.718.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
blue by 0.8
22.53.4
17.020.3
Auto2.9
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Third
9121
#44
13.61.5
8.36.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 5.2
4717
#32
18.83.4
17.420.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned