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Red175
541164.4
914060.6
589253.9
Blue102
557263.3
268743.8
801929.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178136100150200250175102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+73Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +76
28Coral scored#13
102Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
136Total teleop60
Reef
15L4#6
7L3#3
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
2Foul points2
175Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
64.40.1
63.863.9
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
red by 1.1
63.32.1
63.060.9
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
Second
60.60.1
43.643.7
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
red by 16.9
2687
#29
43.82.1
34.031.9
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Third
5892
#17
53.90.1
52.752.8
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
red by 24.4
8019
#41
29.52.1
24.522.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned