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Red130
147761.3
348121.0
635748.1
Blue121
637741.6
578832.6
356131.9
56%Model gave it44%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611150100150200130121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points22
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +22
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points71
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
113Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#11
5L3#4
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
130Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
61.31.8
55.657.4
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
red by 19.7
6377
#27
41.60.9
47.448.3
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
Second
6357
#14
48.11.8
32.634.3
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
red by 15.5
5788
#36
32.60.9
25.025.9
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
Third
3481
#45
21.01.8
15.417.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
blue by 10.9
3561
#30
31.90.9
28.829.7
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed