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Red180
624330.8
463938.2
680089.8
Blue105
367935.0
32453.1
951227.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16611050100150200250180105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+61Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
24Coral scored#18
88Coral points64
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
122Total teleop78
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
180Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.82.3
77.980.2
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 36.8
324
#7
53.10.1
46.045.9
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
Second
4639
#22
38.22.3
36.338.6
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
red by 3.2
3679
#28
35.00.1
29.729.6
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
Third
6243
#26
30.82.3
24.827.2
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
red by 3.1
9512
#40
27.70.1
25.325.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed