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Red126
295021.8
406334.5
258352.2
Blue118
246862.4
912113.6
769123.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12093050150200126118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+6Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
25Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points70
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
93Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
126Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#23
52.20.6
45.746.3
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
blue by 10.2
62.41.7
54.055.7
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Second
4063
#25
34.50.6
35.836.3
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
red by 11.1
7691
#43
23.41.7
20.422.2
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
Third
2950
#33
21.80.6
18.218.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
red by 8.2
9121
#44
13.61.7
6.88.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed