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Qual 222025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division
Red105
258542.6
354533.0
918128.9
Blue148
331062.0
837028.7
1001453.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10413050150200250105148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points23
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +37
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
69Total teleop106
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#11
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points0
105Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#20
42.60.1
38.4→38.3
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
blue by 19.4
3310
#5
62.01.7
50.7→52.4
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
3545
#34
33.00.1
30.9→30.9
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
blue by 20.1
10014
#3
53.11.7
38.5→40.2
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
Third
9181
#24
28.90.1
23.6→23.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
red by 0.2
8370
#39
28.71.7
21.8→23.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned