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Red123
356131.9
32453.1
624330.8
Blue96
268743.8
941840.0
578832.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159940608014016018020012396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
89Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
123Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#7
53.11.3
45.947.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
red by 9.3
2687
#29
43.80.1
31.932.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Second
3561
#30
31.91.3
29.731.1
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
blue by 8.1
9418
#11
40.00.1
36.336.4
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Third
6243
#26
30.81.3
27.228.5
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
blue by 1.8
5788
#36
32.60.1
25.926.0
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned