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Red156
367935.0
712153.8
45747.0
Blue156
801929.5
471718.8
300592.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151149110120130140160170180190156156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
7Coral scored#7
36Coral points34
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +4
21Coral scored#22
76Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
104Total teleop100
Reef
10L4#13
6L3#8
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
156Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#13
53.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
blue by 38.2
92.0
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
Second
457
#8
47.0
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
red by 17.5
8019
#41
29.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
3679
#28
35.0
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
red by 16.2
4717
#32
18.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned