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Red213
331062.0
147761.3
246862.4
Blue114
463938.2
887428.5
837028.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1858650100150200250300213114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+97Teleop
+95Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
6Leave6
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points3
48Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
30Coral scored#16
107Coral points57
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
145Total teleop87
Reef
15L4#6
9L3#3
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
6Foul points2
213Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.42.0
55.757.7
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
red by 24.2
4639
#22
38.20.8
38.639.4
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
Second
62.02.0
52.454.5
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
red by 33.3
8370
#39
28.70.8
23.524.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Third
1477
#12
61.32.0
57.459.4
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
red by 32.8
8874
#37
28.50.8
27.228.0
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned