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Red96
348121.0
749252.2
471718.8
Blue201
624330.8
951227.7
300592.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981575020025096201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+87
Endgame+93
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +73
14Coral scored#28
51Coral points102
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
75Total teleop148
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#13
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#7
21Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points12
96Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7492
#15
52.20.4
50.149.7
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
blue by 39.8
92.03.1
77.880.9
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
Second
3481
#45
21.00.4
19.619.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
blue by 9.8
6243
#26
30.83.1
28.531.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Third
4717
#32
18.80.4
21.220.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 9.0
9512
#40
27.73.1
25.228.3
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned