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Red159
32453.1
941840.0
354533.0
Blue145
914060.6
947830.8
367935.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329950150200159145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+16
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
15Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points64
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
108Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#33
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
159Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#7
53.12.2
47.349.5
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
blue by 7.6
60.62.7
46.148.8
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
Second
9418
#11
40.02.2
36.438.7
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
red by 5.0
3679
#28
35.02.7
29.632.3
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
Third
3545
#34
33.02.2
30.432.7
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
red by 2.2
9478
#31
30.82.7
17.420.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed