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Red143
578832.6
1001453.1
801929.5
Blue174
1034050.0
45747.0
295021.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114145100200143174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+23
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#29
76Coral points106
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
122Total teleop130
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#12
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points8
143Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.4
40.842.2
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
red by 3.2
50.01.6
44.245.8
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
5788
#36
32.61.4
26.027.4
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
blue by 14.4
457
#8
47.01.6
45.046.6
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
Third
8019
#41
29.51.4
22.423.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 7.7
2950
#33
21.81.6
18.820.4
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned