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Red108
712153.8
918128.9
406334.5
Blue104
769123.4
284852.7
258542.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115122050100150200250300108104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
71Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
108Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#13
53.80.2
42.342.5
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
red by 1.1
2848
#16
52.70.6
46.445.8
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
Second
4063
#25
34.50.2
33.633.8
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
blue by 8.1
2585
#20
42.60.6
38.938.3
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
Third
9181
#24
28.90.2
24.124.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
red by 5.6
7691
#43
23.40.6
21.921.3
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed