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Qual 382025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division
Red140
463938.2
268743.8
951227.7
Blue197
912851.1
300592.0
295021.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11218650150200250300140197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+43
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +38
3Leave3
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points48
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +5
26Coral scored#26
93Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
121Total teleop126
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#11
7L2#10
7L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
140Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#29
43.81.8
32.0→33.8
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
blue by 48.2
3005
#2
92.01.8
80.9→82.7
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
Second
4639
#22
38.21.8
39.4→41.1
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
blue by 12.9
9128
#18
51.11.8
48.9→50.7
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Third
9512
#40
27.71.8
28.3→30.1
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
red by 5.9
2950
#33
21.81.8
20.4→22.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned