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Red74
1034050.0
471718.8
578832.6
Blue114
284852.7
947830.8
941840.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011175015020074114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#14
20Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
74Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.01.3
45.844.4
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 2.8
2848
#16
52.70.2
45.846.0
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
Second
5788
#36
32.61.3
27.426.1
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
blue by 7.4
9418
#11
40.00.2
38.738.9
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Third
4717
#32
18.81.3
20.819.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 12.1
9478
#31
30.80.2
20.120.3
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned