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Red178
246862.4
1001453.1
918128.9
Blue113
45747.0
801929.5
32453.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155153120130140150160170178113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +50
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points59
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
131Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#9
11L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
178Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.42.7
57.259.9
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
red by 9.4
324
#7
53.11.3
49.548.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
Second
53.12.7
42.244.9
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
red by 6.1
457
#8
47.01.3
46.645.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
Third
9181
#24
28.92.7
24.226.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
blue by 0.6
8019
#41
29.51.3
23.822.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned