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Red192
749252.2
258542.6
680089.8
Blue120
541164.4
912113.6
356131.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18910650150250192120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+64Teleop
+74Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +53
30Coral scored#11
109Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
131Total teleop78
Reef
14L4#4
11L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points2
192Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.80.8
80.281.1
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 25.5
5411
#10
64.40.3
60.660.9
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
Second
7492
#15
52.20.8
49.750.5
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
red by 20.3
3561
#30
31.90.3
32.332.5
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
Third
2585
#20
42.60.8
38.339.2
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 29.0
9121
#44
13.60.3
9.810.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned