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Red111
914060.6
928918.2
837028.7
Blue147
648824.8
712153.8
635748.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111246080100140160180200111147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+34
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points41
26Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
79Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#10
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
111Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.9
48.849.7
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
red by 6.8
7121
#13
53.82.8
42.545.3
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
Second
8370
#39
28.70.9
23.424.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
blue by 19.4
6357
#14
48.12.8
35.137.9
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
Third
9289
#35
18.20.9
17.518.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 6.6
6488
#38
24.82.8
22.625.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed