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Red170
258352.2
367935.0
912851.1
Blue131
348121.0
711940.2
557263.3
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14513080100120160180200220170131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
93Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#4
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
24Foul points0
170Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#23
52.21.0
47.548.5
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
blue by 11.0
63.30.9
58.959.9
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
Second
9128
#18
51.11.0
50.751.7
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
red by 10.9
7119
#19
40.20.9
38.939.9
Auto10.1
Teleop22.0
End8.0
Third
3679
#28
35.01.0
32.333.3
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
red by 13.9
3481
#45
21.00.9
19.220.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned