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Qual 442025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division
Red139
354533.0
406334.5
331062.0
Blue172
147761.3
589253.9
887428.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13115950100150200139172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+47
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
21Coral scored#25
75Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
103Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#13
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
139Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#5
62.00.6
55.3→54.7
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
red by 0.7
1477
#12
61.30.5
59.9→60.4
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
Second
4063
#25
34.50.6
33.8→33.2
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
blue by 19.4
5892
#17
53.90.5
56.1→56.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
Third
3545
#34
33.00.6
32.7→32.1
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
red by 4.6
8874
#37
28.50.5
29.2→29.7
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed