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Red173
578832.6
680089.8
635748.1
Blue160
1034050.0
801929.5
712153.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612250100150200250173160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
40Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
25Coral scored#23
91Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
119Total teleop119
Reef
13L4#8
6L3#10
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
173Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.81.1
81.182.2
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 36.0
7121
#13
53.82.3
45.347.6
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
Second
6357
#14
48.11.1
37.939.0
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
blue by 1.9
50.02.3
44.446.8
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Third
5788
#36
32.61.1
26.127.2
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
red by 3.1
8019
#41
29.52.3
22.524.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed