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Red91
837028.7
1038522.5
268743.8
Blue110
928918.2
749252.2
951227.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911205010015020091110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+45
Endgame+31
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points11
20Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +45
9Coral scored#20
33Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
43Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
12Foul points0
91Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#29
43.80.0
32.332.3
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
blue by 8.4
7492
#15
52.20.7
50.551.3
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
Second
8370
#39
28.70.0
24.324.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
red by 1.0
9512
#40
27.70.7
30.130.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
Third
22.50.0
22.322.3
Auto2.9
Teleop17.3
End2.4
red by 4.3
9289
#35
18.20.7
18.419.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed