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Red196
769123.4
32453.1
300592.0
Blue146
887428.5
648824.8
541164.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172131100150200250196146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+52Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
29Coral points26
29Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +49
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points58
6Processor algae#2
8Net algae#8
36Processor points12
32Net points32
68Algae points44
151Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#9
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
196Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.02.2
82.784.9
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 27.6
5411
#10
64.41.3
60.962.2
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
Second
324
#7
53.12.2
48.350.5
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
red by 24.6
8874
#37
28.51.3
29.731.0
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Third
7691
#43
23.42.2
20.122.4
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
blue by 1.4
6488
#38
24.81.3
25.426.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned