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Red81
406334.5
348121.0
912113.6
Blue153
367935.0
1001453.1
637741.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6414905010020081153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+72
Endgame+74
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +51
9Coral scored#22
31Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
63Total teleop114
Reef
5L4#12
2L3#10
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
2Foul points0
81Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#25
34.50.7
33.233.9
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
blue by 18.6
53.11.5
44.946.4
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
Second
3481
#45
21.00.7
20.120.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
blue by 20.5
6377
#27
41.61.5
46.948.4
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
Third
9121
#44
13.60.7
10.110.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 21.4
3679
#28
35.01.5
33.334.8
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed