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Red179
284852.7
914060.6
45747.0
Blue178
258542.6
589253.9
331062.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171181100150200250179178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points41
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +18
29Coral scored#23
104Coral points84
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
130Total teleop112
Reef
11L4#11
11L3#6
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points8
179Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.8
49.751.5
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
blue by 1.4
62.00.6
54.755.2
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
2848
#16
52.71.8
46.047.8
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
blue by 1.2
5892
#17
53.90.6
56.657.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
Third
457
#8
47.01.8
45.447.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
red by 4.4
2585
#20
42.60.6
39.239.7
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned