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Red156
258352.2
947830.8
147761.3
Blue137
711940.2
912851.1
624330.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138132100120160180156137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points33
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +23
26Coral scored#19
93Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
6Processor points12
24Net points20
30Algae points32
123Total teleop100
Reef
17L4#9
5L3#6
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
156Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
61.31.8
60.462.2
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
red by 10.2
9128
#18
51.11.0
51.752.7
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Second
2583
#23
52.21.8
48.550.3
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
red by 12.1
7119
#19
40.21.0
39.940.9
Auto10.1
Teleop22.0
End8.0
Third
9478
#31
30.81.8
20.322.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Level
6243
#26
30.81.0
30.131.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed