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Red181
557263.3
463938.2
246862.4
Blue152
635748.1
354533.0
749252.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182132100150200250181152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
29Coral scored#19
104Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
12Processor points12
12Net points28
24Algae points40
128Total teleop110
Reef
12L4#6
9L3#8
5L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points6
181Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.5
59.960.4
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
red by 11.1
7492
#15
52.20.8
51.352.1
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
Second
62.40.5
60.661.1
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
red by 14.3
6357
#14
48.10.8
39.039.8
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
Third
4639
#22
38.20.5
40.040.5
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
red by 5.1
3545
#34
33.00.8
32.132.9
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned