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Red156
406334.5
801929.5
367935.0
Blue110
648824.8
637741.6
1038522.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211690100120130140150156110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +40
22Coral scored#12
78Coral points44
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
126Total teleop86
Reef
13L4#3
7L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
156Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#28
35.02.6
34.837.4
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
blue by 6.6
6377
#27
41.60.9
48.447.5
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
Second
4063
#25
34.52.6
33.936.4
Auto5.0
Teleop26.9
End2.5
red by 9.8
6488
#38
24.80.9
26.625.7
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
Third
8019
#41
29.52.6
24.827.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 7.0
22.50.9
22.321.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed