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Red106
258542.6
928918.2
348121.0
Blue114
589253.9
295021.8
268743.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9514250200106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+20
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
20Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
72Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
106Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#20
42.61.0
39.740.7
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
blue by 11.3
5892
#17
53.90.6
57.256.5
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
Second
3481
#45
21.01.0
20.821.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
blue by 22.7
2687
#29
43.80.6
32.331.7
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Third
9289
#35
18.21.0
19.120.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 3.6
2950
#33
21.80.6
22.922.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed